原标题：鲜血渗透！ 中东战争混乱，有128人死亡！ 沙特阿拉伯遭到17架无人机的袭击，伊朗核问题突然改变，石油价格再次上涨。 有什么影响？
概括
[SaudiArabiawasattackedby17dronesinthechaosoftheMiddleEastwar!Whatistheimpactofanotherjumpinoilprices?】OverseasnetquotedthelatestreportfromtheRussianSatelliteNewsAgencyonApril12thatYemen’sHouthiarmedforcesclaimedthattheyused17dronestolaunchattacksontargetsinSaudiArabiaofwhich10droneswereusedtoattackSaudiAramco’sOilrefineriesinJeddahandJubail
Source: Xinhua News Agency
The situation in the Middle East is far more complicated than imagined.
Haiwai.com quoted the latest report from the Russian Satellite News Agency on April 12 that the Yemeni Houthi armed forces claimed that they used 17 drones to launch attacks on targets in Saudi Arabia, of which 10 drones were used to attack Saudi Aramco’s operations in Kyrgyzstan. Refinery in Da and Jubail.
After this statement was issued, the internationalOil priceIt rose instantly from 58.85 US dollars/barrel to 60.66 US dollars/barrel, a short-term increase of more than 3%.
At the same time, the biggest “time bomb” in the Middle East-the Iranian nuclear issue has also suddenly changed. On April 11, Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility suddenly malfunctioned. Subsequently, the spokesperson of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that this was a “nuclear terrorist act” launched by Israel against Iran’s territory and would take retaliatory actions against Israel.
War in the Middle East reignited, 128 dead
On April 12, Yemen’s Houthi armed forces claimed that they used 17 drones to launch attacks on targets in Saudi Arabia, of which 10 drones were used to attack Saudi Aramco’s refineries in Jeddah and Jubail. . In addition, the Yemeni Houthi armed forces stated that they had also used two ballistic missiles against Saudi Arabia.
This time the airstrike launched by the Houthis may be revenge against Saudi Arabia.
Just the day before (April 11), a fierce conflict broke out between Yemeni government forces and Houthis in Marib province. Officials of the Yemen coalition government revealed to the media that the conflict has caused 128 deaths, including 51 government soldiers and 77 Houthi fighters.
Marib Province is Yemen’s main oil-producing area, and it is also the only area controlled by the Yemeni government in the north and the seat of the multinational coalition command headed by Saudi Arabia.
An official of the Yemen coalition government stated that with the support of multinational coalition air firepower led by Saudi Arabia, government forces “successfully repelled the Houthi armed forces.”
News from the Houthi armed forces stated that the Saudi-led multinational coalition force launched an air strike on the armed military personnel in Marib Province on the 10th, but did not disclose the specific number of casualties.
Obviously, Saudi Arabia was directly involved in the battle between the Yemeni government forces and the Hussein armed forces, and this may have been the fuse for the Houtai armed forces to use 10 drones to attack Saudi Arabia.
In fact, Saudi Arabia intervened very early in this internal struggle between the Yemeni government forces and the Hussein armed forces. In September 2014, Houthi armed forces seized the Yemeni capital Sana’a and other areas, forcing President Hadi to seek refuge in Saudi Arabia, and designated the southern port city of Aden as the temporary capital.
In March 2015, Saudi Arabia began to intervene in the Yemeni civil war. The leading Arab coalition provided military support to the Yemeni government and stood on the opposite side of the Houthi armed forces.
Since then, the Houthi armed forces began to retaliate against Saudi Arabia, frequently launching missiles, rockets, and drone bombs into the Saudi region in an attempt to attack Saudi Arabia’s airports, ports, and oil system infrastructure.
Since the armed conflict lasted for more than 7 years, the United Nations has repeatedly tried to organize peace talks between the parties to the conflict to end the war, but it has not been successful.
Iran and Israel are full of gunpowder
In addition to the conflict between Saudi Arabia and the Hussein, the smell of gunpowder between Iran and Israel was once again ignited.
On April 12, Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman Khatibzad stated at a press conference that the failure of the internal power supply system of the Natanz nuclear facility was an “nuclear terrorism act” launched by Israel against Iran’s territory. It will cause catastrophic consequences, and retaliatory actions will be taken against Israel at an appropriate time.
This gunpowder-like speech was aimed at the failure of Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility the day before. On the same day, the power system of the Natanz nuclear facility suddenly failed and the production of enriched uranium was forced to stop. Fortunately, this incident did not cause casualties or radiation pollution.
But this time when the failure occurred, it was very sensitive.
The day before the incident (April 10), Iran held a commemorative ceremony for the 15th National Nuclear Technology Day. On the same day, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani ordered the activation of 164 IR-6 centrifuges at the Natanz nuclear facility to start production of enriched uranium. Rouhani made a high-profile announcement that the production efficiency of enriched uranium in the IR-6 centrifuge is 10 times that of the first-generation IR-1 centrifuge.
On April 6, representatives of relevant parties to the Iranian nuclear agreement began to hold talks in Vienna, Austria, on the issue of the United States and Iran’s resumption of compliance, and a new round of talks was held on the 9th. The Iranian side has repeatedly said that the US should take the lead in lifting all sanctions on Iran before Iran will stop reducing its implementation measures and fully implement the Iran nuclear agreement.
It was against this background that the Natanz nuclear facility suddenly malfunctioned, which shocked the top Iranian leaders. Iranian parliament member Malek Shariati Niaser believes that the incident may have been caused by man-made sabotage because Iran is trying to persuade Western countries to lift sanctions against it.
In addition, many Israeli media have also provided the same analysis saying that Natanz was attacked by a cyber attack and damaged a facility containing sensitive centrifuges, but did not provide the source of the analysis.
It is reported that the Natanz nuclear facility is located in the desert area of Isfahan Province in central Iran. It covers an area of 100,000 square meters. Most of the buildings are 8 meters underground. It is the main production base of Iran’s nuclear weapons uranium enrichment. The security is very strict and it is acceptable. One of many facilities monitored by IAEA inspectors.
In the vortex of political games in the Middle East, any accidents caused by Iran’s nuclear facilities will not be simple “accidents.”
Oil skyrocketing
The situation in the Middle East, which is full of gunpowder, directly affects the price of crude oil.
On April 12, after the announcement of the Hussein armed forces in Yemen, international oil prices rose instantly, from 58.85 US dollars per barrel to 60.66 US dollars per barrel. The short-term increase once exceeded 3%, and then fell slightly. As of the close, WTI May crude oil futures closed up 0.64% to $59.70 per barrel.
Analysts believe that if the situation between Saudi Arabia and the Yemeni Houthis deteriorates, international oil prices may continue to rise, because Saudi Arabia is one of the world’s most important crude oil suppliers.
Another news that has detonated oil prices is that Saudi Arabia, a major oil exporter, will meet the requirements of most Asian customers to reduce oil supply in May. On April 12, according to sources, some customers had requested reductions in supply due to refinery overhauls and rising oil prices. In the coming months, Saudi Arabia will gradually follow the plans reached by OPEC and Russia and other oil-producing countries. Stop additional voluntary production cuts.
on the other hand,American EnergyThe Information Administration (EIA) stated in the short-term energy outlook report that it is expected that US crude oil production will decrease by 270,000 barrels per day in 2021 to 11.04 million barrels per day, which was previously expected to decrease by 160,000 barrels per day.
In anticipation of rising oil prices, Iraq set the price of Basra light crude oil sold in Asia in May at a premium of US$1.4/barrel over the official price.
Although the current global epidemic has repeated and the prospects for global economic recovery are still confusing, oil demand in some regions is still very strong. After a large-scale vaccination in the future, the global economy is bound to restart on a large scale, and the demand for crude oil will be further released.InternationalMonetary FundThe organization’s World Economic Outlook report published on April 6 and the April 2021 Global Financial Stability Report raised its forecast for world economic growth this year and the next. It is estimated that the global growth rate in 2021 will be 6.0%, an increase of 0.5 compared to January of the previous year. Percentage points.
(Article Source:BrokerageChina)
(Editor in charge: DF010)
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