巨峰投资顾问：A股反击！ 茅台的金融热点市场前景如何？ _东方财富网

概括

[JufengInvestmentConsultant:A-sharecounterattack!HowtogoafterMaotai’sfinancialhotmarketoutlook?Viewpoint:SincethefourthquarteroflastyearmarketriskappetitehasreboundedWiththeacceleratedrecoveryofeconomicfundamentalsandreasonableabundanceofliquiditythelogicofthemarket’spositivetrendhasnotchangedAftertheupwardstructuralshockwiththerecoveryofmarketsentimentandtheimprovementoftheearningeffectthespringmarketisinfullswingandthemarketearningeffecthasbegun

Viewpoint: Since the fourth quarter of last year,marketriskPreference has rebounded. With the accelerated recovery of economic fundamentals and reasonable abundance of liquidity, the logic of the market’s positive trend has not changed. After the upward structural shock, with the recovery of market sentiment and the improvement of the earning effect, the spring market is in full swing, and the market earning effect has begun. After the consolidation at the end of January and the beginning of February, as the liquidity drive gradually weakened,PerformanceBoosting and rising valuations are expected to become the main force for the market to improve in the Year of the Ox, and focus on the latter part of the economic recovery.consumptionAnd the overall performance of the cycle category.

Today, the two cities both opened low and then moved higher.Financial stocksSing all the way under the leadership of, especiallybankas well asInsuranceThe sharp rise in the sector has brought new boosts to the market.andKweichow MoutaiThe recovery of 2,100 yuan once again hit the bottom and rebounded, pushing the index upward, and the market ushered in a long-lost surge. Of course, it can only be a big rise, but it cannot be completely said to be a general rise. After all, a market with less than 3,000 shares going up at one time can only be said to be a strong rebound in a single day.

As far as the market is concerned, the whole day’s surge can be said to be a help in the snow.Because after yesterday’sDrive high and go lowAfter that, the overall market sentiment was actually relatively low. On the one hand, in the absence of bad news, the trend of diving after a high opening has a greater impact on emotions; on the other hand,Kweichow MoutaiMore than 20% of the cumulative retracement entered a technical bear market; in addition, the index was onceFall belowPreviously strongly supported 60 daysMoving average. Therefore, once these unfavorable trends continue, then the market here may really be a question mark. After all, if there are too many retracements, even if it is a bull market, it will take a lot of effort to get back up.

Therefore, the big rise here can be described as a long drought and rain, and it came very timely. However, this sharp rise does not mean that the market adjustment is over and that new market conditions will soon be ushered in. In fact, but the front is still a bit hot, after all, the adjustment pattern has just begun, and after the full arrangement here, the previous bull market pattern may continue.

On the one hand, the increase in the day was due to too many consecutive declines. Just like the rapid rise in the Spring Festival, after the rapid fall here,short termThe rebound of the index is reasonable, but if it is a rebound of the index, it is of little substantive significance; on the other hand, the adjustment of Baotuan stocks is not sufficient.Kweichow MoutaiWaiting for Baotuan stocks, although today there areDraw back, But the adjustment is not sufficient,fundsshort termPull upMore of it is self-help, but it is possible to adjust fully after repeated sorting.In addition, importantmeetingDuring the period, the market is more likely to maintain stability.

Therefore, although Moutai has stopped its decline, financial stocks have also ushered in a surge and pushed the index upward, but this does not confirm that the market adjustment is over. On the contrary, if the continuity here is not strong, beware of the subsequent downward dips of the index. Only after another dip, will the phased style adjustments and risks here be fully released.

At present, domestic fundamentals are recovering rapidly, liquidity is relatively stable, and the pattern of a positive market trend has not changed, and phased adjustments have not changed the bull market trend.Under the global flooding and the continuation of overseas easing, we must pay attention to the gradual riseInflation expectationsUnder this expectation, there is still a lot of room for nonferrous metals and other varieties to move up. Under the high-low switching, the advantages of other traditional low-valuation cycle varieties can be embodied, and they can also be the favored objects of the institution’s phased value depressions. As for core assets, after this adjustment, under the trend of the general environment, it will still be the main direction of capital pursuit.

Overall, the experience is fastKillLater, the market ushered in a sharp rise in anti-suppression, which helped ease short-term market worries, and there were still rebounds and repetitions in the short term. However, judging from the intensity of this adjustment, the release of phased emotional risks is not yet sufficient, and after repeated repetitions, there may be opportunities for low-breathing and concentrated entry.SuggestinvestmentProper maintenancePositionContinue to wait and see, wait patiently for the end of the index adjustment and the newAdd warehousepoint.At the same time, for investors with lighter positions, they can actively invest in individual stocks.Game, To capture opportunities for individual stocks.

(Source: Jufeng Finance)

(Editor in charge: DF515)