概括
[Baotuanstockswipedoutallkindsof”mao”collectivemisfiresandtheGEMfellnearly3%!what’shappening?】OnthefirsttradingdayoftheYearoftheOxtheShanghaiCompositeIndexclosedup055%andoncestoodat3700pointsduringthesession;theChiNextIndexfell274%Cyclicalresourcestockssuchasnon-ferrousmetalscoalandpetrochemicalsstrengthened;vaccineliquorandfoodsectorspulledback
The first trading day of the Year of the Ox,The Shanghai Composite IndexIt closed up by 0.55% and once stood above 3700 points during the session;Growth Enterprise Market IndexFell 2.74%.
Non-ferrous metals, Coal, petrochemical and other cyclical resource stocks strengthened; vaccines, liquor, and food sectors pulled back.3585 stocks rose throughout the day, butKweichow Moutai、Midea Group、Ningde eraWhat happened when the institutional holdings were almost wiped out?

Start a businessThe board index plummeted and heavy stocks all closed down
During the Spring Festival, Hong Kong stocks and overseas stock markets continued to rise. Driven by this, the stock indexes of the two cities opened sharply higher in early trading today.Growth Enterprise Market IndexUnder the drag of heavyweight stocks, it fluctuated lower, and fell more than 3% during the session.
As of the close, the GEM’s decline has narrowed, but it still fell by nearly 3%. In terms of index contribution, the top five stocks that “contributed” the most to the decline of the ChiNext index,Followed byNingde era、Zhifei、Mindray Medical、Kangtai Bio、Yiwei Lithium Energy。
among them,Ningde eraAfter opening higher, it went all the way down, falling 3.79% to 397 yuan.

FromMain forceCash flowLooking forward, the Ningde era suffered a net outflow of 709 million yuan from the main force throughout the day.

Colored sector hurricane fundBaotuan stocks died down
In the afternoon of the 18th, the index rebounded slightly.Shanghai IndexThe gain re-expanded to 1%, and the index’s decline narrowed.
The concept of liquor once bottomed out, the steel sector rose sharply, and the concept of coal became popular across the board. Near the end of the trading session, the Shenzhen Component Index and the Band Index maintained a low level consolidation, and the Baotuan White Horse shares suffered a heavy setback.
Kweichow MoutaiIt plummeted 5% throughout the day to 2471.00 yuan per share, and the main net outflow exceeded 1 billion yuan throughout the day.

In terms of turnover, the top five stocks in order areKweichow Moutai、BYD、Ping An of China、Wuliangye、Oriental wealth, The turnover exceeded 10 billion yuan.
From the perspective of the main capital flow,Net inflowThe top three stocks in terms of capital areLuoyang Molybdenum、Tianqi Lithium、Xiamen Tungsten Industry, Both areNon-ferrous metalsSector stocks.
The top stocks in the net outflow of major funds, there areMidea Group、Luxshare Precision、Haitian Flavor Industry、Luzhou Laojiao, Kweichow Moutai.
The data shows that the non-ferrous sector soared collectively today. In terms of individual stocks,Garden City Gold、China Aluminum、Yunnan CopperWait for the daily limit of more than 10 stocks.Coal mining、Petroleum industryAnd other traditional blue-chip sectors with the highest gains, home appliances, medical and biological,food and drinkAnd other major consumer sectors have fallen sharply. In addition to the major consumer sectors, some leading players such as lithium batteries and photovoltaics also saw significant declines today.
Peripheral Copper FuturespriceSoaring during the Spring Festival holiday, setting a new high in eight years,Zijin MiningHong Kong stocks surged 20% during the Spring Festival holiday, and A shares opened their daily limit.
The agency believes thatIn the context of the release of liquidity in the United States, non-ferrous metals and oilProductPrices have risen sharply, and the core logic is economic recovery.
It is worth noting that according to the data, the northbound funds flowed in unilaterally under the sharp fluctuation of the index in the early trading, and flowed out slightly in the afternoon, with a net purchase of 5.073 billion yuan throughout the day.Shanghai Stock ConnectNet purchase of 2.672 billion yuan,Shenzhen Stock ConnectNet purchases were 2.402 billion yuan.
In addition, most of the Asia-Pacific stock markets fell on the 18th. The Nikkei 225 index closed down 0.19% to 30236.09 points; the South Korea Composite Index closed down 1.5% to 3,086.66 points; the Australian S&P 200 Index closed up 0.01% to 6885.9 points; New Zealand NZX50 The index closed down 0.32% to 12,633.60 points.
Economic recovery becomes a key word in the market
Industrial SecuritiesIt is believed that as the global economy recovers,Commodity pricerise,PPIThe improvement will benefit the A-share mid-upstream cycle industry.Recovery has become the main key word of the current market conditions, during the Spring FestivalGlobal stock marketBoth have achieved rises and market risk appetite has further improved. It is recommended to seize the opportunity to actively do more.
In terms of sector configuration, it is recommended to revolve around two main lines: First, the global recovery superimposed on the upward PPI, China hassupplyThe cyclical manufacturing products manufactured by the advantage can focus on the materials and equipment of the middle and upper reaches of the growth chain such as chemical industry, non-ferrous metals, machinery, home appliances, new energy vehicles, semiconductors, etc.; the second is to benefit from service-oriented consumption that has gradually recovered from the epidemic, such as film and television, Medical beauty, aviation, catering and tourism,duty free, Medicine, etc.
GF Securitiesthink,currencyThe policy is “not a sharp turn”, the spring restlessness continues, and the annual reportPerformanceThe forecast exceeds expectations and will continue to strengthen the price increase pro-cyclical + technology market. Economic recovery and inflation have established the “third wave” procyclical market of A shares.In terms of sector configuration, there are the following suggestions: pro-cyclical and technology of the main line of “price increase”, such asNon-ferrous metals, Chemicals, semiconductors, panels, new energy;ExitOptional consumption that resonates between the chain and “domestic demand”, such as automobiles, home appliances;bank、Insurance。
(Source: China Securities Journal)
(Editor in charge: DF142)
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