原始标题：每年最多10次！ 比特币将在2020年创造历史，“一天就能赚到一年的薪水”，谁是最大的受益者？
概括
[10timesayear!Bitcoinwillmakehistoryin2020″earningoneyear’ssalaryinoneday”Whoisthebiggestbeneficiary?】IntheYearoftheRatBitcoinhasbeeninanoticeableupwardtrendandhasbecomeanabsolutewinningassetundertheepidemicSincehittinganewlowof$4705onMarch132020thecurrentpriceofBitcoinhasskyrocketedmorethan10times(ChinaSecuritiesJournal)
In just three days, Bitcoin rose by nearly $5,000. In the early morning of February 14, BitcoinpriceIt broke through 48,000 US dollars at one time.
Data source: OKEx
“If the price of Bitcoin reaches $50,000, BitcoinMarket valueWill reach 10% of the gold market value (about 9 trillion US dollars). “Bitwise Asset Managementthe companyvice presidentMatthew Hougan once said.
Today, Bitcoin is rushing toward this number.
“Bitcoin is a defeat”
Despite Bitcoin’s recent gains, some bad actors continue to insist on their views.
On February 13, Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) of the well-known financial book “Black Swan” stated on social networks that he had been selling his bitcoins.The reason is simple, “acurrencyThe volatility will never exceed what you buy and sell with it.You can’t use virtual currency forProductPricing。”
From this, he concluded: “Bitcoin’s volatility will not decrease with time or higher prices. In this respect, Bitcoin is a defeat (at least for now).”
Recently, the bullish effect of Bitcoin on Musk’s platform has also been criticized by many bigwigs.
Nouriel Roubini, a well-known economist known as “Doctor Doom”, publicly stated two days ago that Musk hadTeslaThe tweets about Bitcoin posted before investing in Bitcoin are a kind ofmarketManipulation, U.S. Securities ExchangeCommittee(SEC) should investigate this.
Roubini said in an interview: “The first is his personal position in Bitcoin, pushing up the price, and then sayingTeslaAlready invested. This is irresponsible and market manipulation. The Securities and Exchange Commission should investigate those who have influence on the market and manipulate asset prices. This is a crime. “
He also stated that the only purpose of Bitcoin is to create a speculative bubble, which is destined to burst.
However, the bearish voice did not hinder the pace of Bitcoin’s attack. In the early morning of February 14th, driven by strong funds, the price of Bitcoin broke through $48,000, which means that it only took three days for Bitcoin to rise again by more than 10%, from $43,000 to around $48,000.
From the resurrection to the myth of getting rich
After three years of silence and dormancy, Bitcoin finally brewed the long-awaited bull market in the Year of the Rat.
Under the fierce entry of institutional funds, Bitcoin has recently repeatedly hit historical highs since its birth.At present, the price of bitcoin has stabilized at US$47,000, and the highest price once touched US$49,000, which means that the price of each bitcoin is approximatelyRMB316,000 yuan.
In the Year of the Rat, Bitcoin has been in a noticeable upward trend and has become an absolute winning asset under the epidemic. Since hitting a new low of $4,705 on March 13, 2020, the current price of Bitcoin has skyrocketed more than 10 times.
Data source: OKEx
At the same time, the total historical increase of Bitcoin has reached an unimaginable point.
On January 3, 2009, Satoshi Nakamoto dug up the first batch of Bitcoin on a small server in Helsinki, Finland, and Bitcoin was officially born. The first transaction price of Bitcoin in 2010 was about $0.0025. As of February 14, 2021, the price increase since the birth of Bitcoin has reached a record 18 million times! That is to say, when you invested 1 yuan at the beginning, you can buy 61.3 bitcoins, and now the value of the position is about 2.88 million US dollars, or about 18.58 million yuan.
In the process of Bitcoin riding the wind and waves, the contract market has also unfolded countless stories of “getting rich overnight” and “losing money”.
Here, there are investors who make a daily profit of 480,000 yuan in contract trading with leverage. “The currency circle is a place where there is no shortage of miracles, especially futures. Sometimes the money earned in a day is more than that of a yearwageMore”.
There are also successiveLoss, Investors with an explosive mentality, “If I can come back again, I will definitely stop at 36,000 US dollars, and I can’t hold it up after staying up all night.”
There are also steadfast believers, “In a bull market cycle, your chances in the car are far greater than the risks.”
Image source: Provided by investors
William, the chief researcher of OKEx Research, believes that from the current market conditions, Bitcoin is gradually changing from “Alternative InvestmentsProduct” to “digital gold”Positioningchange.
The direct reason for this round of Bitcoin price surge is the entry of high net worth and institutional investors. Traditional institutions buy Bitcoin in large quantities, and the underlying reason behind it is the changes in the global macroeconomic situation.On the one hand, due to the impact of the epidemic, the recovery of the global economy has slowed; on the other hand, theLoose monetary policy, Pushing up inflation expectations in financial markets.
China communicationindustryassociationBlockchainThe rotating chairman of the special committee and the president of Huobi University, Yu Jianing, said: Bitcoin has been relatively high before reaching 42,000 US dollars this round, and it has been on a unilateral rise without major corrections. This is not a normal state. In the future, there will be fewer and fewer unilateral rises, and later volatility will increase significantly. The rise in the price of Bitcoin is essentially a dividend of the global digital cycle, and the revaluation of its market value will be a long-term process.
Institutions and super-rich become new protagonists
This round of bitcoin bull market is mainly dominated by institutional funds.Today, Bitcoin is moving fromWall StreetThe dismissive “toy” has become a “tool” for asset allocation with great potential.
Recently, a report issued by PricewaterhouseCoopers shows that in 2020, more and more institutional investors will enterCryptocurrencyMarket, includingJPMorgan(JPMorgan), Standard Charteredbank(Standard Chartered)、Citigroup(Citi Group)、Deutsche Bank(Deutsche Bank), DBSbankGroups, etc., many institutions have even begun to underwrite this asset class on a regular basis.
While Bitcoin hits new highs, some Wall Street forecasts are also optimistic.HaveAnalystIt is predicted that Bitcoin may become the “2021Tesla“, the future upside space is up to several times; some analysts have respectively given ultra-high target prices of 74,000 US dollars and 100,000 US dollars; CitibankThe target price given is even as high as $300,000. CME Group’s latest COT report shows that most institutions are long Bitcoin.
On February 13, an insider revealed thatMorgan StanleyIts investment department, which has an investment scale of over US$150 billion and is known for selecting growth stocks, is considering adding Bitcoin to its list of possible bets.
Regarding Bitcoin’s outlook, William said that what institutional investors care about isprofit. After the epidemic has gradually eased, with the gradual recovery of the economy, monetary policy will gradually shift from loose to moderately tight. At that time, institutional investors may sell Bitcoin. Prior to this, Bitcoin will continue to maintain an upward trend in general. Of course, as the price of Bitcoin gets higher and higher, market fluctuations will gradually increase. Investors are not recommended to increase leverage.
(Source: China Securities Journal)
(Editor in charge: DF358)
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