美国散户投资者退出了！ 华尔街傻眼了！ 该机构自我指导和行动，“迫切希望”散户投资者猜测高油价吗？ _东方财富网

原标题：美国散户投资者已撤出！ 华尔街傻眼了！ 该机构自我指导和行动，“热切期盼”散户投资者猜测高油价吗？

概要

[Americanretailinvestorswithdrew!WallStreetisdumbfounded!Self-directedandself-actedbytheinstitution”eagerlylookingforwardto”retailinvestorsspeculatingonoilprices】Althoughtheshort-squeezetrendofAmericanretailinvestorsisgraduallyfadingWallStreethedgefundsareunwillingtomissthisexcellentthemeofhypebuyingandgainingprofitsOnFebruary1EugenWeinbergHeadofCommodityResearchatDeutscheBanksaidthatthebubblebrewingbyretailinvestorsinthesilvermarketmayspreadtoothercommoditymarketsanditisnotruledoutthatretailinvestorswillalsotouchassetssuchasoilinthefutureAsaresultWallStreetinvestmentinstitutionsboughtlongpositionsincrudeoilfuturesinadvancetryingtotakeadvantageofretailinvestors’short-sellingdividendsandevenmanyhedgefundsraisedtheshort-termtargetpriceofWTIcrudeoilfuturesto$65-70perbarrel(21stCenturyBusinessHerald)

　　Although the US retail investor short-surge is gradually fading,Wall StreetHedgefundBut I don’t want to miss this hype, a great way to make a profittheme。

As of 19:00 on February 4, WTI crude oil futuresMain forceThe contract price hovered at US$56.12/barrel, hitting the highest value of US$56.33/barrel since January last year. This means that crude oil futures have risen by more than 7% in the past three trading days.

“Considering that the U.S. dollar index recently rebounded to 91.4, the highest value in the past two months, WTI crude oil futures can still have such a strong performance, mainly due to certain new factors.” US. Global Investors AnalystFrank Holmes analyzed it to a reporter from 21st Century Business Herald.The new factor referred to is that the crude oil futures market has been “eagerly hoping” that retail investors will take crude oil as the next short-selling target this week.

February 1, German businessbankBulkProductthe studySupervisorEugen Weinberg said that the bubble brewing by retail investors in the silver market may spread to other major commodities.Commodity market, Does not rule out that retail investors will also touch assets such as oil in the future.

　　Wall Street investment institutions therefore bought crude oil futures in advancelongPosition, trying to enjoy the short-term profit of retail investors, and even many hedge funds set the short-term target of WTI crude oil futurespriceIncreased to 65-70 US dollars per barrel.

However, as the retail short-selling tide gradually faded since Wednesday, the self-directed and self-performed crude oil futures buying sentiment by Wall Street investment institutions has become embarrassing.

　　“American FinanceRegulators are investigating whether there are signs of institutional manipulation behind retail short-selling. In this case, many hedge funds are afraid to cut crude oil futures easily.Long position, Fearing that this move will lead to market manipulation suspicion being substantiated, and may face heavy fines from regulatory authorities. “A US crude oil futures broker pointed out to reporters.

　　Institutions are deployed in advance, but retail investors are not targeting crude oil

Target short-squeeze targets at silver in retail investorsCommodityBefore, many hedge funds are bearishOil price。

United StatesCommodity futuresCommitteeAccording to the latest data released by the (CFTC), as of the week of January 26, asset management institutions dominated by hedge funds increased their net short positions in WTI crude oil futures by 12.219 million barrels compared with the previous week, and their hedge positions were also larger than the previous week. An increase of 50.645 million barrels indicates that hedge funds generally believe that oil prices are likely to undergo a correction.

“The surge of retail short-selling has changed everything.” The above-mentioned analysis of the US crude oil futures broker.especially inDeutsche BankAfter many investment banks announced that the short-squeeze from retail investors might turn to crude oil and other commodities, the operation of hedge funds suddenly changed. Since this week, the short-covering operations of hedge funds’ WTI crude oil futures have obviously increased.

　　The reason is that they worry that if retail investors really short crude oil futures, their short positions in crude oil futures will suffer a lot.Loss, On the other hand also wantborrowWith retail investors squeezing the air, “get a piece of the pie.”

“At first, we didn’t believe that retail short-squeezing would set off stormy waves in the crude oil futures market.” A Wall Street macroeconomic hedge fund manager told reporters when they discovered that GameStop and AMC’s two retail short-selling stocks had a high volume last week. 26.4 billion U.S. dollars, exceeding WTI Intermediate crude oilteamMembers began to realize the powerful explosive power of retail short-selling, so they quickly covered all the short positions in WTI crude oil futures created last week.

A reporter from the 21st Century Business Herald learned that some hedge funds specifically investigated the recent WallStreetBets forum discussion posts and content about crude oil, and found that out of about 6 million posts, only 136 involved crude oil, of which 39% held a negative attitude towards crude oil prices. , 20% are positive and the remaining 41% are neutral.

“However, they decided to participate in the buy-up of WTI crude oil futures because they found that one of the driving forces for the rise of the silver climate short-surge was a post from a WallStreetBets user that was bullish on silver to $1,000. So they judged , As long as a user posts a post similar to bullish crude oil futures, it may set off a buying boom in the crude oil futures market.” The aforementioned US crude oil futures broker revealed. These hedge funds are betting on a high return opportunity with a small probability of occurrence. As long as retail investors really target crude oil futures, these institutions will make a lot of money due to advance arrangements.

　　However, the short-squeeze trend of opening retail accounts on Wednesday is gradually fading, and these hedge funds’ buying operations are in a difficult situation.

“Everyone dare not easily cut their long positions in crude oil futures. Once this is done, the traces of manipulating crude oil futures prices will become too obvious and may be subject to investigations and heavy fines by relevant departments.” The aforementioned US crude oil futures broker pointed out.

　　U.S. regulators keep a close eye on fraud

21st Century Business Herald reporters have learned from many sources that they were affected by this retail short-squeeze wave.American FinanceThe regulator is investigating the situation regarding market manipulation.

Rumors from Wall Street financial institutions that US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigators have begun to investigate and sort out various posts on social media and forums to find out whether there is fraud that caused GameStop Corp. , AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc and other stock price fluctuations, especially some institutions or individuals spreading false information, which led to abnormal stock price fluctuations.

A Wall Street commodity investment hedge fund manager revealed to reporters that currentlyAmerican FinanceRegulators have noticed that some posts exist “robot“Operation traces, some users are not real individuals, but investment institutions approvedrobotThe “fake users” set up by the model, and then released some investment statements to guide retail investors to push for short buying and certain financialproduct, Seek a high return on investment.

　　“This has left many hedge funds involved in buying crude oil futures and other commodities this week on pins and needles.”Said the hedge fund manager.Many hedge funds are currently undergoing internal verificationTradersWhether to register on the WallStreetBets forum and post investment advice, or technical staff to passrobotTechnology sets up “fake users” in these forums to post investment opinions, etc.

In response to investigations by relevant departments, these hedge funds are looking for various high-sounding reasons for their buying crude oil futures operations, including the unexpected drop in US crude oil inventories last week, and Saudi Arabia is implementing an additional 1 million barrels/day production reduction plan.trafficThe transportation volume began to pick up, driving the recovery of crude oil demand.

The above-mentioned commodity investment hedge fund manager pointed out:

“Now it’s up to them how to close the market properly. If they drastically reduce their long positions in WTI crude oil futures and cause significant price fluctuations, it will inevitably lead to high attention from relevant departments and strict investigations into market manipulation.”

(Source: 21st Century Business Herald)

(Editor in charge: DF537)