酒集体杀死！ 5日涨停牛市暴跌，茅台跌停也变绿！ 发生了什么？ _东方财富网

原标题：刚才，白酒集体砸了！ 5日涨停牛市股票暴跌和跌停，茅台也变绿！ 发生了什么？

概要

[Liquorcollectivelykills!5ThedailylimitofbullstockscrashedandthedailylimitofMaotaialsoturnedgreen!whathappened?】CITICSecuritiespointedoutthatlookingforwardtothefuturethestructuralprosperityofliquorwillremainunchangedandmarketsharewillcontinuetobeconcentratedintheleadingmarketunderconsumptionupgradesLeadingliquor’shopestoachievehigh-definitionpriceincreasesandclearspacewillsurelybecomedeeperandlong-termbarrierstocompetitionMorecertaintyofthecoreassetssoitisrecommendedthatlong-termstrategicallocationofliquorfaucets

In the liquor sector, several companies were happy and worried, and the leading stocks set a new high in the intraday market, while the small-cap stocks were rainy and rainy.

　　Liquor tapRise and fall, Small-cap stocks fell sharply

January 6,Kweichow Moutai(600519.SH) stock price rose at the opening, the highest stood at 2125 yuan;Wuliangye(000858.SZ) also reached a new high, the stock price exceeded 335 yuan, the highest increase was nearly 5%,Market valueIt once exceeded 1.3 trillion yuan.

However, the two stock prices subsequently corrected and turned down. As of the morning close,Kweichow MoutaiIt closed at 2057.88 yuan, a slight drop of 0.08%;WuliangyeIt closed at 319.86 yuan, a slight drop of 0.04%.

In addition, many liquor stocks were active in the morning.ShuijingfangThe intraday rose nearly 6%, and the stock price exceeded 100 yuan;Shanxi FenjiuRise more than 4% to break through the 400 yuan mark;Luzhou LaojiaoThe stock rose more than 3%, and the stock price approached 270 yuan, all setting new highs.

At the close in the morning, the entire liquor sector turned green, leaving onlyShanxi Fenjiu(600809.SH) rose 3.34%. At the same time, many small-cap stocks experienced a sharp correction.

Just experienced 5 of the five daily limitQinghai Spring(600381.SH) was blocked at the opening limit and closed at 9.16 yuan in the morning.

For abnormal stock price fluctuations,Qinghai SpringPublished on the evening of January 4announcementPrompt risk,the companyIndicates that the first three quartersOperating incomeIs 62.4 million yuan,Net profitLossOver 100 million yuan.Among them, the operating income of the beverage business is approximately 14.47 million yuan. The related business is small in scale and in a state of slight loss.investmentPeople pay attention to the company’s business risks.

In addition,Golden seed wine(600199.SH)、Huangtai Winery(000995.SZ) fell more than 7%; there are also a series of rice wine, beermanufacturerA sharp correction, among which rice wine stocksJinfeng Winery(600616.SH)、Kuaiji Mountain(601579.SH) fell over 7%, beer stocksLanzhou Yellow River(000929.SZ)、Huiquan Beer(600573.SH) fell more than 6%.

FromPerformanceOn a level, the head of the liquor fieldenterpriseWith the acceleration of integration, the industry’s “28th effect” has become more and more obvious. According to the three quarterly reports for 2020, only “Mao Wulu”, Huangtai,Alcoholic liquor, Fenjiu,This world、Shunxin Agriculture8 companies have achieved positive revenue growth, accounting for less than half of the number of A-share liquor companies; Yanghe, Laobaigan,Highland Barley Wine、Kouzijiao、Elite、Welcome drive wine、ShuijingfangRevenueYear-on-yearDrop by more than double digits;Net profitThe year-on-year decline in liquor companies also reached 10, middle and low-endBrandIt is difficult for wine companies to reverse the trend in the short term.

　　CITIC SecuritiesIt is pointed out that looking to the future, the structural prosperity of liquor will remain unchanged, and consumption will be upgraded.marketThe share is expected to continue to concentrate on the leading; the leading wine is expected to achieve high volume and price rises, and the space is clear. It will become a core asset with deeper barriers to competition and greater long-term certainty. Therefore, it is recommended that long-termstrategySexual configuration liquor faucet.

　　The 13th Five-Year Plan for wine companies is over, and price increases in peak seasons may help “start a good start”

At the end of the year, many wine companies announced their operations in 2020, and the “14th Five-Year Plan” was also released one after another.

In the evening of January 3,Kweichow MoutaiAccording to the announcement, the total operating income is expected to be about 97.7 billion yuan, an increase of about 10%, of which the annual revenue of the series wine is about 9.4 billion yuan;profitAbout 45.5 billion yuan, an increase of about 10%. In 2020, the company will produce 50,000 tons of Moutai base liquor and 25,000 tons of series base liquor.

From the perspective of overall revenue, Moutai’s performance is in line with the 10% growth target set at the beginning of the year; but the profit performance is slightly lower than market expectations. In this regard,The Pacific OceanSecurities analysts said that the main reason may be related to factors such as tax payment and fee placement. Considering the adjustment of channel structure and the sorting out of series wine distributors, channel expenses and market expenses may increase to a certain extent. From a longer-term development perspective, this is conducive to consolidating the channel and market foundation.

So far, Moutai’s “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” ended smoothly. On January 5, Chairman of MoutaiacceptAccording to the interview, in the “14th Five-Year Plan” proposal, the Guizhou Provincial Party Committee proposed to make Moutai Group the first “World 500” enterprise in the province. Moutai proposed that during the “14th Five-Year Plan” period, “high quality” should run through all links of production and operation.

In addition,Shanxi Fenjiu(600809) also released an announcement that the listed company’s operating income in 2020 is expected to increase by 1.911 billion yuan to 2.211 billion yuan, an increase of 16.08%-18.60% year-on-year; the annual net profit is expected to increase by 866 million yuan to 1.156 billion yuan, an increase from the same period last year. 41.56%-55.47%.

It is worth noting that as the Spring Festival peak season is approaching, many wine companies are recurring price increases.Luzhou LaojiaoThe suggested group purchase price of 52 degrees Guojiao 1573 classic package is increased to 1050 yuan per bottle.productThe group purchase price is around 990 yuan/bottle;This worldRecently, a price increase announcement was also issued. From January to March 2021, the ex-factory price of Guoyuan Sikai will be increased by 10 yuan/bottle from January to March, and the terminal supply price, group purchase price and retail price will be increased simultaneously.

　　CITIC SecuritiesAccording to the analysis, wine companies use price increases to stimulate channels to actively make money, which will positively help peak season sales and a good start in 2021. On the other hand, through price increasesProfit DistributionIt can better increase channel profits and increase the enthusiasm of distributors. In addition, the Spring Festival in 2021 is relatively late,Stock upMore reflected in the first quarter, with a low base, liquor will usher in 4 consecutive quarters of good performance. At least from the perspective of the next year, the liquor industry maintains a high boom.

(Source: e company official micro)

(Editor in charge: DF358)